2018/03/30

Insane Probability of Evolution

Evolution is not mathematically possible


http://www.mathematicsofevolution.com/ChaptersMath/Chapter_150__Probability_of_Evolution__.html

Excerpt: "Let us assume the "first living cell" had 300 gene complexes, with an average length of 3,000 nucleotides (or nucleotide pairs).  Human gene complexes are far more complicated, and longer, than the gene complexes of the "first living cell" (if such a cell ever existed).

Now let us assume the probability of a random permutation of 3,000 nucleotides, being able to create a gene complex for the "first living cell," was 10‑5.  This number is ridiculously generous to the theory of evolution (i.e. the real probability is much, much less than that).

Thus, we have a probability that an RNA or DNA strand for the "first living cell" would have a viable permutation of nucleotides is: 10(‑5x300) which is equal to 10‑1,500.  The "‑5" is the probability of a single new gene complex forming from a randomly generated permutation of 3,000 nucleotides; and the 300 is the number of gene complexes which must be made.
  
Using the above example, 50 of the 300 gene complexes would be used to create one protein structure.

But even the above probability of 10‑1,500 ignores a lot of things, such as the viability of different combinations of proteins (remember, proteins must fit together, thus just having a bunch of proteins doesn't help at all, they must be a "set" of proteins which have very specific shapes and have specific amino acids in just the right places), but we will use the above numbers.

Remember, 10‑100 is an impossible probability.  A probability of 10‑500 is an insane probability because it is 10400 times smaller than an impossible probability.

Now we are talking about a number which is 101,000 times smaller than an insane probability (i.e. 10(1,500‑500) equals 101,000)."

My comment: Have a blessed Easter!